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Backtest results

Volatility Expansion · Bybit detailed backtest

2021-06-01 00:00–2026-09-30 03:00 UTC

Initial capital
10,000.00 USDT
Final equity
125,897.50 USDT
Net profit
+115,897.50 USDT
Total return
+1158.97%
Annualized return
+60.82%
Maximum drawdown
23.47%

Account equity

Initial capital 10,000.00 USDT

125,897 USDT

2026.09

50k100k
202120222023202420252026
Initial capital: 10,000.00 USDT · 2021-06-01 00:00–2026-09-30 03:00 UTC (end excluded)

Backtest results

Average monthly return
+4.19%
Win rate
61.05%
Profit factor
1.277
Profitable months
47 / 64
Trades
3,497
Average win/loss ratio
0.815
Average R
0.126 R
Average net margin return
+2.57%

Wins 2,135

Losses 1,362

Breakeven 0

Long / Short 1,768 / 1,729

Average monthly return is the arithmetic mean of account monthly returns, including zero-trade and partial months. Profit factor is positive net trade PnL divided by absolute negative net trade PnL. The win/loss ratio compares average winners with average losses; average R uses initial stop risk.

Net position PnL divided by initial margin, including partial exits, fees and funding.

Drawdown from account peak

0%−23.47%
2021-06-01 00:00 UTC2026-09-30 03:00 UTC

Monthly returns

Monthly returns
Year010203040506070809101112Annual returns
2021—————+0.00%+2.21%+4.77%+6.11%−2.76%+13.72%+3.03%+29.46%
2022+5.48%+8.32%−1.51%+8.95%+8.35%+13.84%+2.71%+5.68%+7.48%+8.97%+2.73%+7.37%+112.07%
2023+8.28%+5.98%−1.01%−0.57%+6.59%+18.86%+2.16%+17.91%−2.11%+1.30%−2.25%−0.14%+66.87%
2024−0.61%−3.19%+2.90%+8.30%−10.49%−2.88%+7.39%+1.93%+2.28%−2.77%+3.10%+5.00%+9.86%
2025+1.51%+9.87%+1.47%+12.68%+7.11%+7.41%+11.88%−2.99%+6.76%+4.72%+12.44%+2.76%+105.66%
2026+10.87%−3.69%+3.17%−6.11%+4.87%+1.00%−0.20%+0.99%+10.16%———+21.63%

Returns use successive monthly account equity, including open-position PnL. Closed-trade counts use final exit time. Capital continues across periods; the first and last calendar years are partial.

2021 and 2026 cover partial years.

Equity milestones

After 6 months
12,565.00 USDT
+25.65%
2021-12-01 00:00 UTC
After 12 months
17,198.59 USDT
+71.99%
2022-06-01 00:00 UTC
After 24 months
33,055.73 USDT
+230.56%
2023-06-01 00:00 UTC
After 36 months
43,975.53 USDT
+339.76%
2024-06-01 00:00 UTC
After 60 months
112,275.22 USDT
+1022.75%
2026-06-01 00:00 UTC

Closed trades

Download trade CSV

One row per completed position, including partial exits, fees and funding in net PnL. Trade amounts and CSV use the original starting capital.

Initial capital: 10,000.00 USDT · UTC

3,497 closed trades

AAVE/USDT:USDT · Long

+795.91 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-29 08:00 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-29 12:00 UTC
Entry price
163.886387
Final exit price
171.60161379
Net margin return
+30.70%
Exit reason
Trailing stop

AAVE/USDT:USDT · Long

−596.74 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-25 16:30 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-28 09:15 UTC
Entry price
153.975396
Final exit price
146.37466805
Net margin return
−35.62%
Exit reason
Stop-loss

ONDO/USDT:USDT · Long

−876.55 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-28 00:00 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-28 00:45 UTC
Entry price
0.58745874
Final exit price
0.56079717
Net margin return
−32.52%
Exit reason
Stop-loss

WLD/USDT:USDT · Long

+487.21 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-26 15:15 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-27 09:15 UTC
Entry price
0.53365336
Final exit price
0.54708976
Net margin return
+18.02%
Exit reason
Trailing stop

XRP/USDT:USDT · Long

−662.26 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-25 12:15 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-25 16:00 UTC
Entry price
1.6021602
Final exit price
1.55753865
Net margin return
−20.25%
Exit reason
Stop-loss

SUI/USDT:USDT · Long

−681.42 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-25 11:30 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-25 14:15 UTC
Entry price
1.14141413
Final exit price
1.09394788
Net margin return
−29.86%
Exit reason
Stop-loss

XLM/USDT:USDT · Long

+535.75 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-24 16:30 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-25 00:45 UTC
Entry price
0.21442144
Final exit price
0.22184907
Net margin return
+22.48%
Exit reason
Trailing stop

ONDO/USDT:USDT · Long

+596.91 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-24 13:30 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-24 14:30 UTC
Entry price
0.47524752
Final exit price
0.5046897
Net margin return
+40.93%
Exit reason
Trailing stop

ONDO/USDT:USDT · Long

+425.20 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-24 12:15 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-24 13:30 UTC
Entry price
0.46234623
Final exit price
0.47927128
Net margin return
+25.11%
Exit reason
Trailing stop

LTC/USDT:USDT · Long

−771.32 USDT

Entry time (UTC)
2026-09-21 12:45 UTC
Exit time (UTC)
2026-09-22 03:00 UTC
Entry price
62.436243
Final exit price
60.40266113
Net margin return
−23.64%
Exit reason
Stop-loss

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